Inside, you will find a summary of market activity and our market outlook.
Global markets finished positive in Q2, while Emerging Markets (EM) ended Q2 slightly positive. Despite better than expected economic data and a rather impressive bounce off October 2022’s market low, this bull market features a classic “wall of worry”—a barrage of investor fears that tamps down sentiment as equities climb higher. Nearly nine months from equities’ low, today’s wide gulf between sentiment and reality reflects a classic early bull market feature. Ultimately, as we enter 2023’s back half, we expect investor fears to continue fading away as we believe the new bull market has ample room to grow and surprise to the upside.
A New Bull Market is Underway: Global equity markets’ significant rebound since last October’s low, coupledwith better than expected economic data, lead us to believe we are in a new bull market cycle.
Ongoing Investor Fears Support New Bull: Excessively dour sentiment, driven by fears of inflation, globalrecession, narrow market breadth and a variety of other factors has significantly lowered investor expectations,creating space for the new bull market to continue.
Political Drivers are a Tailwind for Global Markets: The combination of the third year of a US president’s term,which has historically had the highest frequency of positive returns of the four-year cycle, and calmer globalpolitics in 2023 provides a positive environment for the new bull market.
Fisher Investments Europe was established in London, England in 2000. Fisher Investments Europe offers the portfolio management services of its parent company, Fisher Investments, an independent money management firm in the US founded in 1979 by investment guru Ken Fisher. Today, Fisher Investments and its affiliates oversee more than £166 billion* in assets for over 100.000 private clients and 150 institutional clients globally.* Founder Ken Fisher’s “Portfolio Strategy” column for Forbes ran from 1984 to 2017, making him the longest continually running columnist in the magazine’s 90+ year history. He has also authored several New York Times bestsellers on finance and investing. (*As of 30/06/2023)