Q4 2020 Global Markets Review and Outlook
Inside, you will find a summary of market activity and our market outlook.
- Expect an Above-Average Year for Global Equities: We anticipate a strong year for global markets tied to equities’ resilience, political clarity and continued vaccine development and distribution.
- We Believe We are Late in the Market Cycle: The 2020 downturn behaved more like an outsized correction than a traditional bear so the market cycle did not reset. The vast majority of our sentiment and market indicators point to this being a late cycle bull market, yet many forecasters expect early-cycle leadership.
- Investor Sentiment is Elevated but not Euphoric and can Remain High for a Long Time: Positive sentiment can reign for a while before equities reach a euphoric peak, with strong returns along the way. Monitoring sentiment will be key for investors in 2021.